Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004134 0.004348 0.004567 0.004809 0.005068 0.005339 0.005643
2024-12-29 0.003693 0.004004 0.004337 0.004721 0.005154 0.005627 0.006187
2025-01-05 0.003414 0.003777 0.004176 0.004650 0.005200 0.005824 0.006589
2025-01-12 0.003249 0.003653 0.004108 0.004661 0.005321 0.006092 0.007068
2025-01-19 0.003016 0.003432 0.003908 0.004498 0.005218 0.006076 0.007192
2025-01-26 0.002913 0.003355 0.003870 0.004519 0.005327 0.006314 0.007632
2025-02-02 0.002878 0.003354 0.003917 0.004642 0.005563 0.006715 0.008295
2025-02-09 0.002759 0.003245 0.003826 0.004585 0.005566 0.006816 0.008569
2025-02-16 0.002675 0.003173 0.003777 0.004576 0.005626 0.006989 0.008944
2025-02-23 0.002589 0.003094 0.003715 0.004546 0.005656 0.007120 0.009263
2025-03-02 0.002544 0.003066 0.003714 0.004595 0.005788 0.007392 0.009794
2025-03-09 0.002470 0.002996 0.003657 0.004564 0.005810 0.007512 0.010108
2025-03-16 0.002392 0.002921 0.003591 0.004522 0.005818 0.007616 0.010414
2025-03-23 0.002302 0.002828 0.003499 0.004441 0.005768 0.007634 0.010591
2025-03-30 0.002224 0.002747 0.003421 0.004375 0.005734 0.007674 0.010800
2025-04-06 0.002180 0.002711 0.003399 0.004385 0.005810 0.007874 0.011271
2025-04-13 0.002079 0.002594 0.003267 0.004236 0.005646 0.007710 0.011145
2025-04-20 0.002045 0.002567 0.003254 0.004255 0.005729 0.007920 0.011642
2025-04-27 0.002047 0.002588 0.003307 0.004368 0.005956 0.008361 0.012552
2025-05-04 0.001991 0.002528 0.003247 0.004316 0.005930 0.008407 0.012788
2025-05-11 0.001953 0.002492 0.003218 0.004307 0.005971 0.008557 0.013216
2025-05-18 0.001911 0.002448 0.003178 0.004280 0.005981 0.008657 0.013560
2025-05-25 0.001893 0.002439 0.003185 0.004324 0.006103 0.008947 0.014267